Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney is poised to win Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary contest, according to the results of two polls released on Monday.
The first survey, conducted by Public Policy Polling (PPP) among 609 likely Republican primary voters between March 31 and April 1, indicates that the former Massachusetts governor is expected to receive 42 percent of the votes, while former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum looks set to garner 37-percent support. Texas Congressman Ron Paul is in third place with 11 percent of the voting intentions, whereas former House speaker Newt Gingrich comes last with a mere seven percent of the ballots.
The survey also shows that, among those who had already cast their ballot, 56 percent said they had voted for Mr. Romney, while only 21 percent selected Mr. Santorum.
When asked who their favorite candidate would be if Mr. Gingrich were to drop out of the race, Dr. Paul would be the only candidate to benefit from the former House speaker’s exit. Sixteen percent indicated that they would vote for him, whereas 43 percent would choose Mr. Romney and 37 percent Mr. Santorum. Sixty three percent of respondents told the pollsters that they would like to see Mr. Gingrich abandon the contest, while 27 percent would prefer him to continue fighting.
Seventy five percent of those surveyed described themselves as either “very conservative” (39 percent) or “somewhat conservative” (36 percent). Twenty one percent saw themselves as “moderate”.
A second poll conducted by WeAskAmerica on April 1 among 1,173 likely voters also shows Mr. Romney in the lead with 39-percent support, compared with 31 percent for Mr. Santorum. However, this survey shows Dr. Paul and Mr. Gingrich in a virtual tie with 16 percent and 15 percent of the voting intentions respectively.
Thirty seven delegates are up for grabs in the winner-take-all primary on Tuesday. According to The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Romney has accumulated 568 delegates in the 35 contests held so far. Mr. Santorum has 273 under his belt, while Mr. Gingrich boasts 135. Dr. Paul is in fourth place with a mere 50.